Cal St. Northridge
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
999  Gefry Sarco SO 33:38
1,113  Michael Merchan JR 33:47
1,500  Charlie Nettles SR 34:20
1,778  James Atwell JR 34:45
1,949  Mario Ramirez JR 35:01
1,997  Manuel Vargas SR 35:07
2,084  James Silva JR 35:17
2,559  Christopher Pinelo SR 36:38
National Rank #208 of 315
West Region Rank #28 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Gefry Sarco Michael Merchan Charlie Nettles James Atwell Mario Ramirez Manuel Vargas James Silva Christopher Pinelo
UCR Invitational 09/16 1212 33:36 33:51 34:19 34:39 35:27 34:57
Mustang Challenge 09/30 1218 34:06 33:26 34:37 34:34 35:02 36:13
Big West Championship 10/28 1179 33:23 33:44 34:02 35:01 33:59 35:01 34:24 36:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 27.6 792 0.1 0.3 0.5 2.2 4.2 9.3 15.1 17.4 15.9 15.7 12.0 6.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gefry Sarco 121.4
Michael Merchan 130.7
Charlie Nettles 159.4
James Atwell 180.8
Mario Ramirez 195.2
Manuel Vargas 201.1
James Silva 206.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 0.3% 0.3 21
22 0.5% 0.5 22
23 2.2% 2.2 23
24 4.2% 4.2 24
25 9.3% 9.3 25
26 15.1% 15.1 26
27 17.4% 17.4 27
28 15.9% 15.9 28
29 15.7% 15.7 29
30 12.0% 12.0 30
31 6.2% 6.2 31
32 1.3% 1.3 32
33 0.1% 0.1 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0